Fulham vs Manchester United Prediction & Correct Score
Updated: Sep 24
Fulham vs Manchester United closes matchweek 5 of the 2026/27 Premier League at Craven Cottage on Sunday 20 September 2026, kick-off 16:30 BST. Fulham sit 18th with a single point. Michael Carrick's Manchester United are 13th with four. Below: current form, the head-to-head record, team news, the odds and our correct score prediction.
Fulham vs Manchester United, Premier League matchweek 5 — Craven Cottage, Sunday 20 September 2026.
Fulham vs Manchester United: match information
Detail | Fulham vs Manchester United |
Competition | Premier League 2026/27, matchweek 5 |
Date | Sunday 20 September 2026 |
Kick-off | 16:30 BST / WAT · 15:30 GMT (Accra) · 17:30 CEST · 18:30 EAT (Nairobi) |
Venue | Craven Cottage, London |
TV (UK) | Sky Sports |
League standing | Fulham 18th (1 pt) · Manchester United 13th (4 pts) |
Fulham form: two home games, six goals conceded
Fulham have one point from four matches — only bottom club Coventry City have fewer. Álvaro Arbeloa, appointed in July 2026 after Marco Silva left, has yet to win a competitive league game, and the pattern of the opening month is unusually clear: Fulham score at home and get beaten there, then stop scoring on the road and defend far better.
Both home games ended 2-3. Chelsea and Crystal Palace each left Craven Cottage with three goals. Then, at Anfield, Fulham produced the one genuinely encouraging 90 minutes of their season — a goalless draw and a first clean sheet.
24 Aug: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea (H)
30 Aug: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham (A)
5 Sep: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace (H)
12 Sep: Liverpool 0-0 Fulham (A)
Four goals scored, seven conceded — and six of those seven went in at home. That is the number the model keeps coming back to.
Manchester United form: goals in bursts, nothing on the road
Michael Carrick's first Premier League campaign as permanent head coach opened with a 2-0 defeat at promoted Hull City, which set the tone for an uneven month. A week later United put five past Ipswich Town at Old Trafford, Bruno Fernandes helping himself to a hat-trick.
At Goodison Park they led twice — through Bryan Mbeumo just after half-time and Benjamin Šeško with two minutes left — and still only took a point, conceding an equaliser deep into stoppage time. A 4-0 Champions League win over Sabah in midweek was followed by a 0-1 home defeat to Manchester City. Four points from four, and no away win yet.
22 Aug: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United (A)
30 Aug: Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town (H) — Fernandes hat-trick
6 Sep: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (A)
10 Sep: Manchester United 4-0 Sabah (H, Champions League)
13 Sep: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (H)
United have no European commitment before Sunday — their next Champions League night is the following week — so Carrick can pick a full-strength side.
Fulham vs Manchester United head-to-head record
United are unbeaten in the last five meetings and have taken ten points from the last four league and cup fixtures between the clubs. Fulham's most recent win over them came in February 2024, at Old Trafford.
Date | Competition | Result |
1 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Manchester United 3-2 Fulham |
24 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Fulham 1-1 Manchester United |
3 Mar 2025 | FA Cup | Manchester United 1-0 Fulham |
27 Jan 2025 | Premier League | Fulham 0-1 Manchester United |
17 Aug 2024 | Premier League | Manchester United 1-0 Fulham |
One detail matters for the correct score market: four of those five meetings finished under 2.5 goals. These are usually tight, low-scoring games — which pulls against Fulham's leaky home form and is the main reason the model does not go chasing a high scoreline here.
Team news
Fulham: Tom Cairney is out with a knee problem and Ryan Sessegnon is rated doubtful. Fulham's four league goals this season have come from King and Palacios, with summer signings Gonzalo García (from Real Madrid) and Shea Charles still bedding in.
Manchester United: no fresh fitness concerns reported. Bruno Fernandes has four goals in all competitions, Bryan Mbeumo two in the league, and Benjamin Šeško has scored in each of the last two matches he has appeared in.
Team news is correct at the time of writing — always check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off.
Key stats behind the prediction
Stat (2026/27) | Fulham | Man United |
League position | 18th | 13th |
Points from 4 games | 1 | 4 |
Goals scored | 4 | 7 |
Goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
Home / away record | 0 pts from 2 home games | 0 wins from 2 away games |
Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
Last 5 head-to-head | W0 D1 L4 | W4 D1 L0 |
Fulham vs Manchester United odds
Market | Approx. odds | Implied chance |
Fulham win | 9/4 (3.25) | 28% |
Draw | 13/5 (3.60) | 26% |
Manchester United win | Evens (2.00) | 46% |
Odds sampled on 15 September 2026 and rounded; they move through the week, so compare books before you commit to anything.
Fulham vs Manchester United prediction
Two things are pulling in opposite directions. Fulham have conceded three goals in each of their two home games, which screams goals. But this specific fixture has produced under 2.5 goals four times in the last five meetings, and United have not won away from Old Trafford all season.
The tie-breaker is finishing quality. United have scored seven league goals in four games with Fernandes, Mbeumo and Šeško all on the scoresheet, while Fulham have needed a defensive shell at Anfield to get anything at all — and Arbeloa is unlikely to set up that passively at home. Expect Fulham to have a go, score, and get caught.
Prediction: Fulham 1-2 Manchester United Main tip: Manchester United to win · Correct score: 1-2 · Alternative score: 1-1 · Both teams to score: Yes
If you want a lower-variance angle, Manchester United draw-no-bet covers the scenario where Fulham's improved defensive shape holds up for 90 minutes — which, on the Anfield evidence, is not far-fetched.
How our AI software builds a correct score line
The prediction above is the human read of the same inputs our software models: shot volume and quality for and against, home and away splits taken separately, head-to-head scoring patterns, and a goal-expectancy distribution that turns those into a probability for every individual scoreline rather than a single guess.
If you want that output for every fixture on the card rather than one match a week, start with the Mad Football Prediction AI Software (£82) — two combo tickets at odds of 3+ across a week, and the cheapest way to see how the model calls games before you commit to anything bigger.
For correct score specifically, AI Football for Correct Score (£99) gives you the daily scoreline output, and Correct Score Football Software (£132) adds three ranked correct score predictions per match. You can compare every tier on the full software listing.
Fulham vs Manchester United FAQ
What time does Fulham vs Manchester United kick off?
Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 BST at Craven Cottage. That is 16:30 in Lagos (WAT), 15:30 in Accra (GMT), 17:30 in central Europe (CEST) and 18:30 in Nairobi (EAT).
What is the prediction for Fulham vs Manchester United?
Our prediction is a 1-2 away win for Manchester United, with both teams to score. The alternative scoreline is 1-1, reflecting how tight this fixture has historically been.
When did Fulham last beat Manchester United?
February 2024, when Fulham won 2-1 at Old Trafford. United are unbeaten in the five meetings since, taking ten points from the last four league and cup games between the clubs.
Where can I watch Fulham vs Manchester United?
The game is scheduled for Sky Sports in the UK. Broadcast rights vary by country, so check your local listings for the 16:30 BST kick-off.
What are the odds for Fulham vs Manchester United?
Manchester United are around evens (2.00) to win, Fulham around 9/4 (3.25) and the draw around 13/5 (3.60). Those are indicative prices from 15 September 2026 and will move before kick-off.
Sources and further reading: the live Premier League table is at premierleague.com, and background on the ground is on Wikipedia's Craven Cottage page.
18+ only. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees — no model wins every bet. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
Understand the correct-score probabilities
For the broader method and its limitations, read our correct-score football prediction guide. It explains how to interpret model estimates and review evidence without assuming a guaranteed result.