Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
- AI Football Tips
- 1 day ago
- 4 min read
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Preview — Premier League Round 33 | Saturday 18 April 2026
Premier League | St. James' Park, Newcastle | Kick-off: 15:00 BST
One of Saturday's standout Premier League fixtures sees Newcastle United host AFC Bournemouth at a sold-out St. James' Park. Both sides arrive in contrasting form — Newcastle searching for consistency after a turbulent week, while Bournemouth head north fresh from a stunning 2-1 win over Arsenal.
Match Details
Competition | Premier League — Round 33 |
Date | Saturday, 18 April 2026 |
Kick-off | 15:00 BST / 14:00 UTC |
Venue | St. James' Park (Capacity: 52,758) |
Referee | Thomas Bramall |
Weather | 14°C, mild |
Newcastle United — Form & Analysis
Eddie Howe's side have had a difficult run of results. They have lost three of their last five across all competitions — including a 7-2 thrashing at Barcelona and back-to-back defeats to Sunderland and Crystal Palace in the Premier League. The one bright spot was a 1-0 win at Chelsea. Newcastle's FotMob rating of 7.63 reflects individual quality, but the team as a unit has been inconsistent.
Compounding matters is a significant injury and suspension list heading into Saturday. Bruno Guimarães — Newcastle's most important midfielder and their top scorer in the league with 9 goals — is ruled out through injury. Joelinton is suspended, Fabian Schär (ankle) and Emil Krafth (knee) are also unavailable. Losing Guimarães in particular is a major blow — his xG contribution of 4.82 makes him comfortably the most influential player in Howe's setup.
Newcastle — Last 5 Results: Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle | Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland | Barcelona 7–2 Newcastle | Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle | Newcastle 1–1 Barcelona
AFC Bournemouth — Form & Analysis
Bournemouth arrive with momentum and confidence. Their 2-1 win at Arsenal last time out was one of the results of the weekend, and they have been defensively resilient through a tricky run of fixtures — though low-scoring draws against Burnley (0-0), Brentford (0-0), and Sunderland (1-1) show they can also be difficult to break down.
Junior Kroupi leads the line for the Cherries with 10 Premier League goals from 27 appearances, making him one of the division's most productive strikers per game. Bournemouth's xG of 6.57 is solid and Andoni Iraola's side — despite the off-pitch noise around the manager's future — look well-organised and dangerous on the counter.
Bournemouth are without Justin Kluivert (injured — late April), Lewis Cook (hamstring — late April), Julio Soler, and Matai Akinmboni. Significant absences, but their first-choice XI remains largely intact.
Bournemouth — Last 5 Results: Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth | Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United | Burnley 0–0 Bournemouth | Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford | Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland
Head-to-Head Record
Stat | Record |
Newcastle wins | 5 |
Bournemouth wins | 4 |
Draws | 8 |
A remarkably even fixture historically, with draws the most common outcome across 17 meetings. Neither side holds a dominant edge.
Predicted Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3): Ramsdale; Livramento, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Miley, Tonali, Ramsey; Murphy, Osula, Gordon
Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Petrovic; Jiménez, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Scott, Christie; Rayan, Kroupi, Tavernier; Evanilson
Our Prediction
Without Guimarães and Joelinton, Newcastle are significantly weakened in the engine room — and Bournemouth, playing with freedom and confidence after beating Arsenal, will fancy their chances of exploiting that gap. St. James' Park will generate noise and atmosphere, but the Magpies lack their most important player at exactly the wrong moment.
The H2H record screams draw — but Bournemouth's current form and Newcastle's injury crisis make this a game where the visitors could steal all three points.
Our Prediction: Newcastle 1 – 2 Bournemouth
Market | Pick | Reasoning |
Match Result | Bournemouth Win | Guimarães & Joelinton absent, Bournemouth in form |
Both Teams to Score | Yes | Both sides have scored in recent fixtures |
Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | Bournemouth's last 3 away games produced 3+ goals |
Bournemouth to Score First | Yes | Newcastle defence exposed without key midfielders |
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FAQs
What time is Newcastle vs Bournemouth? Kick-off is 15:00 BST on Saturday 18 April 2026 at St. James' Park.
Who is missing for Newcastle vs Bournemouth? Newcastle are without Bruno Guimarães (injury), Joelinton (suspension), Fabian Schär, and Emil Krafth. Bournemouth are missing Justin Kluivert and Lewis Cook.
What is our prediction for Newcastle vs Bournemouth? We predict a 1-2 Bournemouth win, backed by Newcastle's injury crisis and the Cherries' strong recent form.
Where can I get AI football predictions for the Premier League? Visit www.ai-footballtips.com for daily automated predictions across the Premier League and all major European leagues.
Published: 18 April 2026 | Category: Premier League Predictions | Reading Time: 4 minutes Data: FotMob. Predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.
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